XO Market is the open conviction markets for all. Create, trade and share your beliefs with XO.
For a long time prediction markets have promised a superior way to aggregate information, often yielding more accurate forecasts than polls or pundits. In practice, however, today’s platforms remain a niche. Adoption has been hamstrung by gatekeepers restricting what events can be traded, fragmented liquidity in obscure markets, and user experiences that alienate all but crypto insiders. The result is that the wisdom of crowds, despite empirical successes, has yet to reach the mainstream.
XO Market introduces Conviction Markets as a new standard to fulfill this promise. A Conviction Market transforms strongly held beliefs into investable assets; any user can create a market on a question they care about, stake their belief, and let the crowd trade to price its odds in real time. By permitting open market creation, XO enables long-tail topics and community-driven questions that traditional platforms miss.
Under the hood, an adaptive Liquidity-Sensitive LMSR market maker dynamically scales liquidity with participation, ensuring even a small seed pool can grow into a deep market as interest rises. Outcomes resolve quickly and reliably via MODRA, a hybrid oracle combining AI-speed with decentralized human finality, so traders aren’t stuck waiting days for payouts. These systems run on a high-performance rollup chain with sub-second blocks capable of executing thousands of trades per second, while a familiar social feed interface and account abstraction hide blockchain complexity to welcome mainstream users.
In short, XO Market turns any well-posed question into a real-time, liquid forecast - accessible to anyone, priced by everyone, and settled within minutes. By aligning incentives for traders, creators, and resolvers, and by leveraging a modular blockchain stack for speed and security, XO aims to establish Conviction Markets as a widely-used tool for insight and investment.
